corporate bonds are the new stocks

Nov 14, 2008 2 Replies

Corporate bonds and loans have become the "new" stocks. The day-to-day volatility of corporate bond mutual funds, especially junk bond funds, has become comparable to "normal" stock market volatility. For example, the Vanguard Long Term Corporate Bond fund (VWESX) is down



16% year-to-date. The stock market is effectively a 3 or 4 times leveraged version of its old self. Many investment banks are saying that corporate bonds and especially loans are cheap relative to stocks, and there have been articles in the Wall Street Journal and Barron's to this effect as well. For investors who have money in tax- deferred accounts, I suggest that some exposure to stocks be partially replaced by investment grade corporate bond mutual funds. If corporate bond spreads narrow, there could easily be a 20% return next year from corporate bonds. If they do not and corporate bonds continue to suffer, it is unlikely that stocks will do well, either.

The concept of bonds as a separate "asset class" distinct from stocks is an abstraction that has temporarily broken down, unless one is talking about Treasury bonds.



Here is an article that tries to brainstorm why corp bonds seem so volatile/cheap, and whether their attractiveness may be real or mirage:

formatting link
607330 Wonder how a retail investor plays "corp loans" that I hear so much about. Would this mean something like fidelity floating rate fund ffrhx, here plotted against a corp bond etf?
formatting link

Join the Discussion

Have something to add? Share your thoughts — no account required.

Didn't find your answer?

Ask the community — no account required