Thinking outside the box

Jun 23, 2008 5 Replies

If banks continue to suffer, which business categories benefit?


-HW "Skip" Weldon Columbia, SC


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Pawn shops "Payday Loans" Loan Sharks Repo guys Bankruptcy Attorneys

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"HW "Skip" Weldon" wrote

Been pondering this one since it was posted. A sobering query indeed. Banks suffering means, as I know you and others know, that credit is in short supply, and so the economy tends to stagnate. People live cheaper. I'd argue for trying staples supporting economical food and shelter. For food, examples are CPB, GIS, HNZ, UL et al. In the vein of Sausage's somber list, the beer industry might be worthwhile, as the masses seek to drown their sorrows cheaply. For shelter, maybe see REITs with low cost rental apartment complexes in their lists. Some of these are drug down pretty cheap.

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Perhaps Fannie and Freddie?

-Will

william dot trice at ngc dot com

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You had me stumped, but I think that it's commodities. I looked at ETFs and DBC and and GSG have slightly different mixes of futures in things like oil, gas, grain, and metal (including gold). The commodities and the related ETFs do have a risk in that a severe recession can bring down those prices, but in the mean time one can use those ETFs to balance a portfolio. Options are available, but the strikes are not far out of the money.

-- Ron

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(ahem) this was a bad idea...

-Will

william dot trice at ngc dot com

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