My broker pitched an fixed immediate income annuity to me in our last sit-down. (BTW, there are no fees on the sale. The management fees are factored into the quoted payout.)
I have many questions, which I will discuss with her when she returnes from vacation.
In the meantime, I would appreciate a reality-check on my thinking, if that is possible without discussing too many personal details.
She structured an FIIA with a lifetime payout of about $591/year per $10,000 invested and a guaranteed period of 17 years, based on an investment of 10% of my liquid assets (i.e. excluding my home).
At first, the 5.9% "return" sounded good as a guaranteed "return on investment" over the next 17 years. That is more than the expected average return for my asset model over the next 20 years.
Then I realized that was only returning the principal during the guaranteed period. If I died within 17 years, the investment would have gained 0%.
After the first 17 years, the time-valued return increases over time. It would be an average return of 4.6% over 34 years, my life expectancy. That is less than the expected average return for my asset model over the next 20 years.
Based on that, I would conclude that the FIIA is not a good investment for me at this time.
But of course, the potential benefit of the FIIA is the guaranteed lifetime income after 17 years. There is no guarantee that my asset model will meet expectations; and even it did, there is some non-zero probability of wide swings in income and losses in any given year.
I am retired, and my only income is from savings and investments now, and eventually also Soc Sec. Simulations suggest that with my current spending, adjusted for inflation, my resources should last well past my life expectancy without the FIIA, based on very conservative assumptions.
But there are no guarantees in life, and in simulations in particular. The FIIA would reduce my annual spending, thereby leaving more funds to work for me.
On the flipside, I am taking 10% away from those funds up-front. And with the FIIA, the simulations suggest only a small gain in my estate at the end of my life expectancy.
Moreover, the decision to invest 10% of my assets in a FIIA is irreversible. I tend to avoid long-term commitments because they are inflexible.
So, in conclusion, am I right to think that a FIIA is not the right investment for me at this time? Or am overlooking something or looking at this option incorrectly?
PS: I tend to be a conservative investor. I was more moderate before; but after 2008, I downgraded my risk tolerance ;-).