I think you're both right. Shiller's data that Joe shows in the link above excludes new construction. But I believe in the second edition of _Irrational Exuberance_ Shiller gives Bread's number when the median price of all homes, including new construction, is used. You know - new features, bigger house, etc. must be taken into account. Jim was talking about a situation where he would be building so Bread's number might be more useful, but as Bread points out, either growth number makes the point.
-Will
william dot trice at ngc dot com
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