I have got no real estate property, and I do not want to take a mortgage and buy a house now because of the current housing bubble. I still got 20+ years before retirement, and I am thinking about investement of money. The easiest way seems to pay a part of my salary into the superannuation (retirement) fund. My employer (national laboratory) has a generous plan where I pay up to 10% of my salary into the superannuation fund, and they match it.
However, there is a problem with saving money into the fund. In 10 years, the baby-boomers will be retiring in droves. The money which I put in now will be used to pay the pensions to the nowdays retirees. When my time comes to retire, there will not be as many younger workers putting their money into the superannuation fund. The government/fund administration will solve the problem of being underfunded by depresiation of your savings. The mechanism is as follows. The money will be devaluating faster than the fund can earn, or the workers will be hit with a 50% (or more) tax when they want to draw their savings out of the retirement fund, so that the taxed money are used for funding the pensions/dole of those who did not save anything. Thus, it makes no sense for me to sacrifice a part of my salary now in order to get a doubtful pension payment later.
Recently, I read an article (not in English) where it was said that the important thing was not how much you saved; it was how much you saved in relation to the rest of the population. For example, you saved $100 for your retirement, and your neighbour saved $1000. When the market sagged, and money were devaluated, you could no longer buy anything with your savings; while your neighbour could still buy something even if not as much. In other words, I could still invest money into the retirement fund (or into stocks), provided I do more than an average Joe; I would still be better off when I retire than Joe.
However, this plan would work only if the devaluation of money will not be too much. For example, in the 1920s, the money in Germany were devaluated (due to inflation) by more than a million times; no savings would survive. There are plenty of the examples in the recent decade, too.
What do the gentlemen think ?