Mortgage rate mathematics

Hi,

I've been trying to figure out the precise maths behind my mortgage interest payments and have discovered that it's not quite what I thought it would be, so I thought I'd share my findings here.

Right now I'm with Intelligent Finance's offset mortgage which has an interest rate of 5.95% and which according to IF works out as an APR of

6.1%, see
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I have always [mistakenly] assumed this difference to be due to an averged out cost of additional fees, the arrangement fee being the most notable. This however is not the case, during a normal mid-term year where the only payments made are interest and repayments, the interest payments appear to be based around 6.1% p/a, not 5.95%.

This difference comes about due to the slightly odd way that the interest payments are calculated...

IF state that the interest owed is calculated on a daily basis, so you might expect there to be a daily interest rate based on the 5.95% p/a figure right? Well yes and no, the obvious (and correct) way to do this is to take the 365th root of 1.0595 (or 366th on a leap year):

daily rate = (1.0595^(1/365))-1 = 0.00482804... etc = 0.482804% / day

Thus, if you had a £100,000 mortgage on Jan 1st and applied 0.48% interest per day to the accumulated amount, then on jan 1st the following year you will owe precisely £105,950 - assuming you didn't make any payments all year.

Alternatively, to overcome the variable number of days in a month and year you could use the same technique to work out a monthly interest rate, and then go on to work out the daily rate for each month individually. This will have the same result as above, £105,950 of debt at the end of the year.

This however is not what happens, with IF you will in fact owe somewhere in the regios of £106,100 and any fees are in addition to this amount. So how does this difference occur?

I don't have hard facts to hand but 6.1% is consistent with an alternative scheme of calculating effective monthly rates whereby the annual rate is simply (and arguably incorrectly) divided by 12 to give a monthly rate. This monthly rate can then be turned into a dialy rate using the scheme I describe above:

This then gives us a monthly rate of:

5.95% / 12 = 0.49583%

Now, if you had a £100,000 mortgage on Jan 1st and applied 0.49583% interest per day to the accumulated amount, then on jan 1st the following year you will owe precisely £106,114.97 - assuming you didn't make any payments all year, which equates to an annual rate of 6.114%

My point then is that the so called 'actual' annual rate is effectively rendered meaningless by IF's unorthodox (from a mathematical point of view) interest calculations. The 'actual' rate and the publshed APR are in fact 6.1%, and the 5.95 figure is really of no use to anyone apart from someone like me who is interested in the guts of interest calculations!

So basically when advisors tell you to compare APR's, compare APR's. Don't try and be clever like me and compare actual rates after adjusting for any fees! Yeh, they got me good and proper this time :)

I wonder if banks and the like should be forced to publish precise details of the interest calculations? I guess that is why APR was devised, but it still doesn't give you the full picture.

Colin.

Reply to
Colin Green
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Scripsit Colin Green

Um, have you calibrated your calculator recently? (1.0595^(1/365))-1 ought to be 0.00015836... - that is 0.0158% a day.

On the other hand the 0.482804% matches the *monthly* interest rate well.

This amount (less 4p) will be reached already on Jan 13th.

Reply to
Henning Makholm

"Colin Green" wrote

Oh dear. Do you feel better now that you know better?

"Colin Green" wrote

No, the difference is because you were wrong!

"Colin Green" wrote

It may have been "obvious" to *you*, but that does not make it "correct" !

"Colin Green" wrote

... arguably correctly !!

"Colin Green" wrote

Not meaningless (it's 12 times the monthly rate) and not unorthodox.

"Colin Green" wrote

That'll be because the APR *is* the actual rate here!

"Colin Green" wrote

calculations!

You either need to get out more, or learn how banks calculate interest better!

"Colin Green" wrote

Eh?! ;-(

"Colin Green" wrote

Perhaps you should have asked them how they applied the rate, rather than simply assuming the incorrect way?

Reply to
Tim

Sorry yeh I quoted the wrong figure there...

Hi,

Applying the daily rate 365 times gives £106,114.97 , Could you explain where the extra 13 days come from? Remember that although the interest payment is per month it is actually calculated per day and accumulated up to the point of the monthly payment.

Colin.

Reply to
Colin Green

Well ok, but if you take an 'annual' rate of 5.95%, divide it by 12 and then apply that rate each month then the actual annual rate is 6.1%. So my point then is why quote the 5.95% rate at all? It is a property of the nuances of the calculation that is being used - and since the other nuances aren't directly published this could be construed as being misleading.

Not unorthodox to banks perhaps, but unorthodox from a mathematical perspective. The divide by 12 approach I would guess makes more sense if you pay interest annually, the annual interest payment is divided by 12 and the this in total corresponds to the toal interest for the year. But if you then actually use a monthly rate based on /12 and apply it each month then the effective rate is increased - due to compounding.

I re-iterate my main point, which is that the 5.95% figure is misleading. Also, I *did* just learn how banks calculate interest, and I question the technique used. That was the whole point of my post. As for the "getting out more" comment, well firstly pot kettle black, and secondly, if understanding how the single largest payment I make every month works is a waste of time then I don't know what isn't!

Indeed. But both approaches are easy to calculate, so why choose one that generates two percentage figures for the end user to digest?

Colin.

Reply to
Colin Green

So you can work out the monthly interest charge on your mortgage. This can be quite useful at times.

Reply to
Jonathan Bryce

Well ok, but if you take an 'annual' rate of 5.95%, divide it by 12 and then apply that rate each month then the actual annual rate is 6.1%. So my point then is why quote the 5.95% rate at all? It is a property of the nuances of the calculation that is being used - and since the other nuances aren't directly published this could be construed as being misleading.

Not unorthodox to banks perhaps, but unorthodox from a mathematical perspective. The divide by 12 approach I would guess makes more sense if you pay interest annually, the annual interest payment is divided by 12 and the this in total corresponds to the toal interest for the year. But if you then actually use a monthly rate based on /12 and apply it each month then the effective rate is increased - due to compounding.

I re-iterate my main point, which is that the 5.95% figure is misleading. Also, I *did* just learn how banks calculate interest, and I question the technique used. That was the whole point of my post. As for the "getting out more" comment, well firstly pot kettle black, and secondly, if understanding how the single largest payment I make every month works is a waste of time then I don't know what isn't!

Indeed. But both approaches are easy to calculate, so why choose one that generates two percentage figures for the end user to digest?

Colin.

Reply to
Colin Green

Because it's traditional. But you're right, it would be more sensible to specify the rate as (5.95/12)% per month than as 5.95% per year.

But also because, if you make your monthly payments on your £100k loan (assuming for simplcity that it's interest-only), then over the course of each year it will cost you exactly £5950 of real money, not £6115.

No. It has nothing to do with nuances of calculation, but with "nuances" (if you want to call it that) of the charging mechanics. You get charged

0.49583% per month, and that amount is then added to the debt each month. It then becomes part of the debt and interest is charged on the whole debt, not just on the original debt. That's what compounding means.

A side-effect of this is that if you were to let the debt mount up by reducing your payment frequency from monthly to annually, then your £100k interest-only loan would cost you £6115 of real money per year.

That's the simple reason why both ways of specifying the rate make sense.

They *are* published, because the law forces them to state the APR. But the fact remains that the contract rate (in this case the 5.95% figure) forms the basis of the calculation of exactly how much interest is charged each month, the APR does not. They don't publish an APR and make a 12th-root calculation to work out how much to charge each month, but they publish a NAR (nominal annual rate) and make a divide-by-12 calculation instead, which is also easier.

On the contrary. If you paid interest annually, you wouldn't need to divide by 12 at all. You'd just pay £5950 in one lump sum, on the day before each anniversary of the loan advance.

Exactly. That's hardly unorthodox.

Tim can be a bit of a tease. Mustn't let him wind you up.

Because basically, even though the charging period is really the month and not the year, the rate is nevertheless quoted on an annual basis because it's traditional. If there were no compounding, there would be no difference, because a rate is a rate is a rate (unless they're mace).

If you drive your car at 60 miles per hour, that's a traditional way of stating your speed, but because you're unlikely to keep your speed constant for a whole hour, it makes more sense to say 1 mile per minute, and even that'd be pushing it, so 88 feet per second is really much more sensible, but sadly tradition has not favoured that approach, because we live in a world full of morons to whom subtle nuances mean nothing. Get your valium tablets in room 207, up the stairs, third door on the left.

Reply to
Ronald Raygun

"Colin Green" wrote

"Colin Green" wrote

Oh dear. I think he means Jan 13th of the original year - not the following one!

"Colin Green" wrote

Remember that you quoted the wrong rate for daily?! Well, 0.48% per day will take only 12 days (ie from Jan 1 to Jan 13).

Reply to
Tim

"Colin Green" wrote

... which is what they quote as APR ...

"Colin Green" wrote

Because it makes it easy to work out the monthly interest amount - and lot's of people want to work out their monthly interest simply. They don't expect to take an "actual" annual rate, convert it to daily, decide how many days are in that particular month, apply the daily rate that many times, etc etc. Indeed most people would rather pay the same amount each month, rather than nearly 11% more in January than in February!

"Colin Green" wrote

But the APR *is* published - and if you didn't know why it was different, then you should have asked!

"Colin Green" wrote

What on earth is that meant to mean? Mathematically, *any* method is just as valid.

"Colin Green" wrote

It makes sense whichever way you want to do it.

"Colin Green" wrote

As everyone knows.

"Colin Green" wrote

Only if you make unwarranted assumptions!

"Colin Green" wrote

You want banks instead to use a daily rate? Why?

"Colin Green" wrote

In your first post you didn't come across as trying to understand it better; rather as preaching "look what I've found out!".

"Colin Green" wrote

Because some people prefer simple interest arithmetic - they can't get their heads around compound interest arithmetic. Anyway, haven't you noticed how all basic calculators never have a "to the power" function? Do you expect people to go out and buy a new scientific calculator just so you can have it your way??! :-(

Reply to
Tim

Am I seeing double? ;-)

Reply to
Tim

"Ronald Raygun" wrote

Ah, you've given the game away now. BTW, how are the bifocals?

Reply to
Tim

Yes I can see that - if you pay the interest and thus don't generate any compounding.

Yes I see the distinction now. 5.95% is an actual interest rate, whereas

6.1% is an effective rate that comes about from compounding. So yes, both rates make sense...

I meant to say: calculated annually - but paid monthly. So you would pay 1/12th of the annual interest each month.

[...]

Hey, you'll cause trouble with talk like that. Now get back in line before I zap you with the cattle prod :)

Colin

Reply to
Colin Green

In message , Colin Green writes

No, its 5.95/365. Thius ACCRUES on a daily basis and COMPIOUNDS monthly

Youve lost me there completely.

Not if IF compound the 9imterest monthly, which is what i think they do.

Yes, some divide the monthly rate by the number of days in the month some divide by the number of days in the year.

No, its VERY important. Becuase from the basic rate, and the basis of the interest compound period, you can deduce the APR but from just an APR you cant figure out anything.

APR was devised by the Government, need I say more?

Reply to
john boyle

In message , Colin Green writes

Because that is the rate which is used to calculate how much interest you pay. The APR isnt.

Not so. APRs are a relatively recent innovation in the world of finance. Clearing banks, the BoE, Government and every financial institution you can think of including the Treasury, Discounters, Forfaiters, Bond Brokers etc., do it that way.

Thats right. IN fact many of the institutions I referred to above traditionally compounded quarterly.

Reply to
john boyle
[...]

Yeh but mostly folks want to work with a monthly rate and an annual rate, and you can get the former by simply taking the twelfth root of the latter.

ok, well I got there in the end, perhaps via a slightly more painful route than was necessary.

I was coming from the angle of there being only one 'proper' annual rate, and thus the only 'proper' monthly rate is the twelfth root [from that perspective]. I see the distinction now between an actual rate(5.95%) and an effective rate(6.1%) - that is different because of compounding.

Without this distinction in mind it seemed to me that the 5.95% was just a function of an arbitrarily choosen interest calculation (divide by

12)- pick a different calculation and you can arrive at the 6.1% APR from any number you like!

... but I get it now, I think.

[...]

Well ok, that wasn't intentional, but point taken. I guess I come from the George Bush school of diplomacy - attack first, ask questions later :)

YES!... at least once I've bought a job lot and put them on ebay (Bush school of economics).

Colin.

Reply to
Colin Green

I've asked them, but they're not saying. I think that means they're OK because I'm sure they'd have complained otherwise.

Reply to
Ronald Raygun

If they were daft enough to throw away their log tables, then yes, they jolly well should. A basic calculator is OK for doing any interpolation which might be needed.

Reply to
Ronald Raygun

"Ronald Raygun" wrote

Didn't someone say it was the 21st century now? ;-)

Reply to
Tim

Well, there's no "best before" date marked on mine, nor on my slide rule and typewriter.

Reply to
Ronald Raygun

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