I was just repeating something I'd heard in a business setting years earlier. Even if the math is a more complicated than I implied at first, I still think it *sounds* like a really solid and easy rule! ;-)
Well, what does then? The older the car, the harder parts are to get, and the less likely you are to find a mechanic intimately familiar with the model and year. Some cars are so old (yet less than twenty years) that even when operating to manufacturer specs, they don't pass modern smog laws in some states.
I'm still claiming there must be *some* point when repair costs accelerate for an older car. Since older cars (excluding collectibles) are cheaper, then there would be a strong inverse correlation between the value of the car and annual repair costs.
To tie this back to financial planning and the OP, I got three things out of his message: older car (14 years), high mileage (180K), and peeling paint. What we don't know, although some hints were given, is the role this car plays in sustaining his (family's) earning capacity, and what the condition of non-essential systems (air conditioning, sound, safety/security, interior coverings and finishes) are. If he lives in the snow belt, there's sure to be some rust by now.
With those conditions, I'm still advising that after ten years, let's say fifteen max, it makes sense to buy a newer used car, say in the five-year old range, and plan to then keep it for another ten years or so. Others have suggested keeping it for another five years, never selling it, and at least one other suggestion to trade in a for a newER (not brand new) vehicle.
-Mark Bole
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