Latest Price Forecast For BCS (Barclays PLC ADR)


FORECASTS ON TICKER SYMBOL: BCS
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
BCS, 20080620, 24.3898, 0.9871, 4.0
BCS, 20080619, 25.5500, -0.1124, -0.4
BCS, 20080618, 25.7209, -0.7200, -2.8
BCS, 20080617, 26.9280, -2.2166, -8.2
BCS, 20080616, 26.0591, -1.7485, -6.7
BCS, 20080613, 25.1500, -0.4066, -1.6
BCS, 20080612, 24.2800, 0.1155, 0.5
BCS, 20080611, 24.2289, 1.2717, 5.2
BCS, 20080610, 25.3700, 1.6464, 6.5
BCS, 20080609, 25.3282, 0.8904, 3.5
BCS, 20080606, 26.8593, 0.3200, 1.2
BCS, 20080605, 28.5889, -0.4409, -1.5
BCS, 20080604, 27.3546, 1.1351, 4.1
BCS, 20080603, 28.2776, 0.8485, 3.0
BCS, 20080602, 28.8158, 0.9695, 3.4
BCS, 20080530, 29.9851, 0.4339, 1.4
BCS, 20080529, 30.0400, 0.2770, 0.9
BCS, 20080528, 30.7285, 0.3309, 1.1
BCS, 20080527, 31.1344, 0.0824, 0.3
BCS, 20080523, 30.8687, 0.8338, 2.7
BCS, 20080522, 31.2195, 0.6610, 2.1
BCS, 20080521, 31.2749, 0.9212, 2.9
BCS, 20080520, 32.1384, 0.6612, 2.1
BCS, 20080519, 32.2899, 0.8999, 2.8
BCS, 20080516, 32.4525, 1.1645, 3.6
BCS, 20080515, 32.8915, 1.3015, 4.0
BCS, 20080514, 33.5790, 0.9368, 2.8
BCS, 20080513, 34.2588, 0.9695, 2.8
BCS, 20080512, 35.0618, 0.9758, 2.8
BCS, 20080509, 35.1700, 1.4064, 4.0
BCS, 20080508, 36.1000, 0.8288, 2.3
BCS, 20080507, 36.9609, 0.6134, 1.7
BCS, 20080506, 37.5794, 0.2726, 0.7
BCS, 20080505, 37.4103, -0.6042, -1.6
BCS, 20080502, 37.7867, -0.8035, -2.1
BCS, 20080501, 37.9500, 0.2407, 0.6
BCS, 20080430, 36.3792, 0.8903, 2.4
BCS, 20080429, 36.4064, -0.0607, -0.2
BCS, 20080428, 37.8512, -1.2567, -3.3
BCS, 20080425, 37.3871, -0.3817, -1.0
BCS, 20080424, 36.0071, 1.1200, 3.1
BCS, 20080423, 35.8545, 2.3347, 6.5
BCS, 20080422, 36.8965, 1.1392, 3.1
BCS, 20080421, 38.1131, 0.1006, 0.3
BCS, 20080418, 39.5699, -2.7000, -6.8
BCS, 20080417, 38.4230, -2.2375, -5.8
BCS, 20080416, 37.8057, -1.7689, -4.7
BCS, 20080415, 35.5924, 0.6303, 1.8
BCS, 20080414, 35.3928, 1.1560, 3.3
BCS, 20080411, 35.6050, 1.4239, 4.0
BCS, 20080410, 36.5547, 1.4734, 4.0
BCS, 20080409, 37.2429, 1.3146, 3.5
BCS, 20080408, 37.8600, 0.7424, 2.0
BCS, 20080407, 38.8771, 0.5923, 1.5
BCS, 20080404, 39.1600, -0.0733, -0.2
BCS, 20080403, 39.0201, -1.5710, -4.0
BCS, 20080402, 39.8874, -1.9130, -4.8
BCS, 20080401, 38.6400, -1.9948, -5.2
BCS, 20080331, 36.0047, -0.0709, -0.2
BCS, 20080328, 36.0683, 0.5340, 1.5
BCS, 20080327, 35.2500, 0.5202, 1.5
BCS, 20080326, 35.9642, -0.6441, -1.8
BCS, 20080325, 37.0700, -2.5808, -7.0
BCS, 20080324, 36.2000, -1.6370, -4.5
BCS, 20080320, 35.3000, -2.3488, -6.7
BCS, 20080319, 33.5052, 0.2602, 0.8
BCS, 20080318, 34.1600, 1.3064, 3.8
BCS, 20080317, 32.2700, 2.0842, 6.5
BCS, 20080314, 34.5100, -0.1383, -0.4
BCS, 20080313, 37.0500, -2.8246, -7.6
BCS, 20080312, 37.1345, -2.1303, -5.7
BCS, 20080311, 35.5378, -1.2223, -3.4
BCS, 20080310, 33.8696, 0.7310, 2.2
BCS, 20080307, 34.1025, 1.2263, 3.6
BCS, 20080306, 34.4321, 1.2186, 3.5
BCS, 20080305, 35.6133, 0.9835, 2.8
BCS, 20080304, 36.9500, 1.9330, 5.2
BCS, 20080303, 36.9313, 2.5049, 6.8
BCS, 20080229, 37.6500, 2.0667, 5.5
BCS, 20080228, 40.1365, 0.1869, 0.5
BCS, 20080227, 41.0100, -2.1646, -5.3
BCS, 20080226, 41.0907, -2.3690, -5.8
BCS, 20080225, 40.5700, -1.3987, -3.4
BCS, 20080222, 38.1103, -0.3803, -1.0
BCS, 20080221, 37.9094, -2.5066, -6.6
BCS, 20080220, 38.6029, -2.5731, -6.7
BCS, 20080219, 37.7370, -1.3290, -3.5
BCS, 20080215, 34.4800, 0.6642, 1.9
BCS, 20080214, 34.9723, -0.9894, -2.8
Forecasts are for your informational purposes only.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Forecasts are not trading advice or recommendations.
Always do your own stock research and due diligence.
Be sure to consult qualified investment professionals.
Copyright(C) 2008 by ForecastS.Com
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*\\ GUIDE TO INTERPRETATION OF FORECAST RESULTS //**
To illustrate how to interpret the data, we'll use
the actual price forecasts for the stock BlackStone
Group, ticker: BX, shown below:
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
BX, 20080528, 18.6600, 0.5215, 2.8
First, you'll notice that there are five(5) columns
as shown above.
As the column headings indicate, the first column
is the ticker symbol (SYMBOL), the next column is
the date (DATE), the third column is the last price
(PRICE), the fourth column is the forecasted
magnitude of future, near-term, price movement
(FORECAST) and the last column (PERCENT) is the
forecasted magnitude of future price movement but
expressed as a percentage (PERCENT) of the closing
price.
It should be obvious that the most important
columns to pay attention to are the FORECAST and
the PERCENTAGE columns, which we'll discuss in more
detail below.
Note that the DATE column is expressed as YYYYMMDD,
which corresponds to the date of the forecast. For
example 20080528 would represent the year 2008, the
month 05 (i.e. May) and the date of month 28. So
20080528 is May 28, 2008. Forecasts are typically
made on the night of the date shown, typically
several hours after the stock market has closed,
and before mid-night, in time for the next day?s
trading.
Let's take a look at the earlier-shown data again:
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
BX, 20080528, 18.6600, 0.5215, 2.8
Using the information we just provided, you can see
that the stock ticker SYMBOL is BX, the DATE of
price forecast was 20080528 or May 28, 2008. The
PRICE was the closing price of $18.6600 (this may
or may not reflect after-hours price) for May 28,
2008, the unit of price being U.S. dollar. This is
then followed by 0.5215 (the unit again being U.S.
dollar) which means that the stock BX is forecasted
to likely move up by $0.5215 in the near term.
The time frame for the fulfillment of the
forecasted future price movement is typically
several days, occasionally more than one or two
weeks, or even longer. The last column shows that
the expected price movement of $0.5215 is
equivalent to an upside movement of 2.8%:
i.e. PERCENT = 100 X (FORECAST / PRICE) = 2.8
Where the FORECAST shows a negative number, it
means the direction of the forecasted future price
movement is down, with the magnitude indicated by
the value of the negative number. Naturally, the
PERCENT figure will also be negative, to indicate
downside, rather than upside, future price movement.
Conversely, if the FORECAST shows a positive number,
as is the case for BX on May 28, 2008, it means the
forecasted future price movement is up, with the
magnitude indicated by the value of the positive
number. In this case, the PERCENT figure will be
positive, to reflect upside, rather than downside,
future price movement.
For better trading results, one should consult past
forecasts for the same stock, and these are
typically provided, going back several months. A
quick review of past forecasts provides a better
grasp of the significance of the latest, current
forecast. The reason is that by simply looking at
past forecasts, one can quickly see where the past
short-term price tops and bottoms were and the
corresponding past forecast readings (i.e. FORECAST
and PERCENT values) at those important junctures.
The current, latest FORECAST and PERCENT can then
be mentally compared to those past extreme values
to see if the current readings are at or near those
past extremes. If not, one may choose to wait a
while, in case the readings becomes more extreme in
the coming days, before taking action. Knowing
whether to wait helps avoid acting too soon, and
tends to improve trading performance while reducing
risk.
Now, let's take a look at the past forecasts for BX
(shown below):
SYMBOL, DATE, PRICE, FORECAST, PERCENT
BX, 20080528, 18.6600, 0.5215, 2.8
BX, 20080527, 18.9100, 0.4243, 2.2
BX, 20080523, 18.5400, 1.4067, 7.6
BX, 20080522, 19.1600, 0.7023, 3.7
BX, 20080521, 19.3300, 0.4556, 2.4
BX, 20080520, 20.5900, 0.1384, 0.7
BX, 20080519, 20.2300, -0.3795, -1.9
BX, 20080516, 20.0200, -0.5328, -2.7
BX, 20080515, 20.6500, -0.9681, -4.7
BX, 20080514, 19.5000, -0.1523, -0.8
BX, 20080513, 19.0500, -0.1559, -0.8
BX, 20080512, 18.9700, 0.2627, 1.4
BX, 20080509, 19.2700, 0.1482, 0.8
BX, 20080508, 18.8000, 0.5186, 2.8
BX, 20080507, 19.3500, 0.6359, 3.3
BX, 20080506, 19.4700, -0.0480, -0.2
BX, 20080505, 19.5600, -0.6820, -3.5
BX, 20080502, 20.2600, -0.9183, -4.5
BX, 20080501, 19.4500, -0.3195, -1.6
BX, 20080430, 18.6000, 0.3533, 1.9
BX, 20080429, 18.8100, -0.1200, -0.6
BX, 20080428, 18.9500, -0.2970, -1.6
BX, 20080425, 19.1800, -0.2541, -1.3
BX, 20080424, 18.5000, 0.0192, 0.1
BX, 20080423, 18.3300, 0.3143, 1.7
BX, 20080422, 18.6200, -0.1133, -0.6
BX, 20080421, 18.6800, -0.6790, -3.6
BX, 20080418, 19.0100, -1.0060, -5.3
BX, 20080417, 18.6800, -0.8970, -4.8
BX, 20080416, 17.7000, 0.0543, 0.3
BX, 20080415, 17.3300, 0.5899, 3.4
BX, 20080414, 17.2016, 0.8348, 4.9
BX, 20080411, 17.7500, 0.5165, 2.9
A quick glance of the above forecast history for BX
shows that in the past when the PERCENT is close to
or greater than 5% or the FORECAST more positive
than $0.80, it suggests prices are bottoming and a
future price rise may be imminent.
On the other hand, if the PERCENT is -4.5% or more
negative, or the FORECAST is about -$0.90 or even
more negative, then it indicates prices are likely
peaking, and a price drop could be imminent.
Not that each stock has its own peculiarities as to
what FORECAST and PERCENT readings are extreme. An
extreme FORECAST or PERCENT reading for one stock
may be too extreme, or not be extreme enough, if
applied to another stock. Therefore, the history
of past forecasts for a particular stock should be
reviewed on its own, independent of other stocks.
Even the same stock may change over time as to what
constitute extreme readings for FORECAST and
PERCENT. It is advisable to review the most recent
forecasts first and then go back to older forecasts,
to detect any gradual changes in extreme values.
Such historic forecast review takes only a few
seconds, but it will save a lot of wondering and
guessing, and will very likely improve your
decision-making and performance. Forecast history
review will help make your timing a lot more
accurate and profitable.
Some people, on first impression, think the
forecast is for the very next day. It is not so.
Most of the time, a FORECAST may take two or many
more days to fulfill.
Occasionally, it only takes just one or two days to
reach the price change forecasted. It really
depends on the particular stock and its special
situation.
There are times the forecasts won't be right, or
won't be realized. Perfection is not possible.
It is usually advisable to wait for extreme
readings, even though that by itself is not a
guarantee of profit. Such patient approach, with a
willingness to wait, is usually much safer and
more rewarding in the long run. This is especially
true for beginners or those who have only a modest
amount of risk capital.
Unless one is extremely experienced and/or has a
very large portfolio, it is usually not advisable
to play minor or moderate FORECAST and PERCENT
readings. That is not to say that mild or moderate
readings are always not profitable, because they
can be. Should one decide to trade on weak
FORECAST and PERCENT readings, on should definitely
limit his/her risk by committing much less risk
capital than when the readings are near the
extremes.
As mentioned earlier, important price tops and
bottoms usually, but not always, correspond to
extreme negative and positive readings.
Some stocks are "better behaved" than others, or
"better behaved" at one time than another. If you
find a stock behaving poorly with respect to the
price forecasts, then do not trade it, or at least
avoid it, but find another stock that is "better
behaved".
It is usually not advisable to trade against the
forecasts, especially when the FORECAST and PERCENT
readings are strong, i.e. at or near their extremes.
In other words, very bullish readings mean that one
should probably cover or close out bearish
positions, and possibly go long. Conversely, do
the opposite for extremely bearish readings, i.e.
take profit or liquidate bullish positions, and
possibly go short.
Before using any of the forecasts, read the above
detailed explanation first. If there is anything
you do not fully understand, read it again
carefully. If after 3 times' careful reading, you
still don't fully understand, then and only then
send us an email and explain in detail what part
you do not understand.
Our email address is: snipped-for-privacy@gmail.com
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