Re: Immediate Future of House Prices-

Aug 03, 2003 25 Replies

:> Saw something of interest which applies somewhat to this thread, both :> because the basic economics applies to the UK too and because if :> anything like this hits America at the moment then global deflation is :> pretty near a certainty: :> :>

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: Can you say that Global Deflation is a good thing?

It depends on the circumstances engendering it. If it's the cure to a credit bubble then in the long run it's a good thing because it liquidates debt and redeploys assets and labour away from malinvestment and towards whatever investment will drive the next boom. For some caught with falling assets and rising debt raised to finance those assets, or those caught in the middle of being redeployed, it might not seem a good thing for quite a while.

The real question is would we be better without asset or credit bubbles or is the pain afterwards worth the gain?

FoFP

Guardian, 6th Aug:

"Halifax, Britain's biggest mortgage lender, reported that house prices moved ahead strongly in July, defying forecasts of a property market crash. The average house price rose to 132,000 in July, up 1.3% on the month compared with the 0.6% gain in June that prompted many forecasters to proclaim the imminent death of the property boom."

FWIW

Strange how some economists are now changing their approach from deflation to inflation.

Either way, its a fascinating time that we are living through, no doubt we will have good stories to tell in years to come.

Ouch! That was rather cutting.

>

"Stephen Burke" wrote

Tee hee - that told him!

If you always predict the same thing you will be right sometimes! Like the doctor who always got it right when predicting the sex of a baby, he would always tell them it was a boy, and would write down his prediction, so when it turned out to be a girl he could get out the notes and show that he told them it was going to be a girl!

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