Price of XOM Stocks one year from now based on option pricing...

According to my model below, which bases future price movements of a stock based on today's an option's TRUE COST, it's volume, the weighted price of XOM should be:

$72.54267884 on/around January 2008.Today, the price is $71.32.

CALL OPTIONS Expire at close Fri, Jan 18, 2008 XOM= 71.32 Strike Symbol Last Chg Bid Ask Vol Open Int True Cost of Options Market Cap of Options Weighted Price Contribution

35 WXOAG.X 37.3 0 36.5 36.8 19 5,023 -1 18.62 0.312483518 40 WXOAH.X 31.4 0 31.8 32.1 55 3,240 0 4.4 0.084390209 45 WXOAI.X 26.8 0 27.2 27.3 1 2,675 0 0.48 0.01035698 50 WXOAJ.X 23.8 0 22.6 22.8 1 5,047 -2 2.48 0.059456738 55 WXOAK.X 18.5 Up 0.50 18.2 18.4 1 8,289 -2 2.18 0.05749083 60 WXOAL.X 14.4 Down 0.60 14.1 14.3 22 7,352 -3 67.76 1.949413824 65 WXOAM.X 11 Down 0.40 10.4 10.6 59 13,206 -5 276.12 8.605787442 68 WXOAU.X 9.7 0 8.8 8.9 11 1,467 -6 64.68 2.093404617 70 WXOAN.X 7.5 Down 0.30 7.2 7.4 11 36,975 -6 67.98 2.281700271 73 WXOAX.X 6.1 Down 0.40 5.9 6.1 144 5,370 -6 878.4 30.53582988 75 WXOAO.X 4.8 Down 0.30 4.8 4.9 4 32,661 -5 19.2 0.690465345 80 WXOAP.X 3 Down 0.10 2.9 3 52 53,700 -3 156 5.984032989 85 WXOAQ.X 1.85 Up 0.05 1.65 1.75 73 13,399 -2 135.05 5.504183549 90 WXOAR.X 0.9 Down 0.10 0.9 1 103 4,285 -1 92.7 4.000383592 95 WXOAS.X 0.5 Down 0.05 0.45 0.55 599 4,240 -1 299.5 13.64268418 2085.55 75.81206396

PUT OPTIONS Expire at close Fri, Jan 18, 2008 Strike Symbol Last Chg Bid Ask Vol Open Int True Cost Market Cap of Costs Weighted Price Contributions

35 WXOMG.X 0.05 0 N/A 0.05 5 4,893 -0.05 0.25 0.002489331 40 WXOMH.X 0.05 0 0.05 0.2 1 8,925 -0.05 0.05 0.00056899 45 WXOMI.X 0.35 0 0.15 0.2 717 7,088 -0.35 250.95 3.212731152 50 WXOMJ.X 0.35 0 0.35 0.4 530 27,146 -0.35 185.5 2.638691323 55 WXOMK.X 0.75 Down 0.05 0.75 0.85 4 31,231 -0.75 3 0.046941679 60 WXOML.X 1.45 Down 0.05 1.45 1.5 28 22,063 -1.45 40.6 0.693029872 65 WXOMM.X 2.45 0 2.55 2.7 1 35,287 -2.45 2.45 0.045305832 68 WXOMU.X 3 0 3.3 3.5 11 8,656 -3 33 0.63371266 70 WXOMN.X 4 Down 0.30 4.2 4.5 55 45,782 -4 220 4.381223329 73 WXOMX.X 5.3 Down 0.01 5.3 5.6 156 8,644 -4 642.72 13.25667141 75 WXOMO.X 6.5 Down 0.10 6.7 6.9 750 21,677 -3 2115 45.12802276 80 WXOMP.X 9.8 Down 0.20 9.9 10.1 3 8,954 -1 3.36 0.076472262 85 WXOMQ.X 13 0 13.8 14 7 2,015 1 -4.76 -0.115106686 90 WXOMR.X 19.2 0 18.6 18.8 22 19 -1 11.44 0.292916074 95 WXOMS.X 24.2 0 23.6 23.8 22 2 -1 11.44 0.309189189 3515 70.60285917 72.54267884