Inflation vs Deflation

Apr 07, 2010 6 Replies

Hi people i have been required for research purposes to discuss the follwing statement.


Time was we were all worried about soaring inflation. Nowadays it's more likely to be the opposite: deflation


Cheers


Both inflation and deflation can negatively impact the economy. But comparatively the effects of moderate long-term inflation would be less damaging than deflation. I think the current market situation is a fluctuation between inflation and deflation. This means that we would be trapped in a stagflation situation.

The contrast of greater high pressure against greater low pressure will add to the storm differential. Its power will increase, just like a hurricane. Higher pressure will come from monetary inflation . Lower pressure will come from the shrinking value of the housing sector, from the diminished credit lines off flat home equity, and from eventual cutbacks in household spending (Hat Trick Letter, Oct. 6,

2006).

But this damaging impact of thrown between might be lessened by the some promising signs at the current market like a little improvement in the housing market. (hopefully!!)

nice !!!! any body else ???

Deflation could be bad for borrowers since the loan will increase in real terms unless sufficient capital is being paid off.

It could be good for savers as money would increase in value, even if left under the mattress. ;-)

However the economy could suffer s people stop buying stuff as they expect the price will drop.

In message , creazer2k writes

No problem, when Cameron and Osbourne get in they will let inflation rip.

unly up to a point. They'll stop buying stuff they don't need, but they will still buy stuff that they want NOW. it could even stop speculation which might turn out to be a good thing.

Deflation refers to a sustained decline in the price level of goods and services. It occurs when the annual inflation rate falls below zero percent (a negative inflation rate), resulting in an increase in the real value of money. The vicious cycle of declining demand and rising unemployment often leads to an economic depression. Causes of Deflation

Deflation in an economy can be attributed to more than one factor, including: # When the risk adjusted return on assets becomes negative, buyers and investors start to hoard currency instead of investing it.

# Sustained decline in the velocity of money or a decline in the number of money transactions.

# Higher interest rates initiated by the countrys central bank to control inflation.

Effect of Deflation on the Economy

A fall in the price of goods and services increases the purchasing power of the people. This might present a positive picture in the short run. However, if this effect extends, it leads to deflation, adversely impacting the economy. With deflation, prices and wages begin to fall. Consequently, the supply of money shrinks, resulting in even lower prices and wages. This creates a vicious 'deflationary spiral' of negatives, including declining profits, closing factories, shrinking incomes and employment and a rise in defaults on loans by individuals and companies. Deflation creates a liquidity trap in the economy when lower interest rates fail to stimulate spending. Deflation usually occurs during recessionary times and tends to aggravate its negative effects. Inflation vs Deflation

Inflation is the opposite of deflation and refers to a rise in the general level of the prices of goods and services. Deflation is considered as negative inflation because it increases the real value in money, whereas inflation has the reverse effect. Deflation causes a burden on borrowers and holders of various illiquid assets and is favorable for savers and holders of liquid assets and currency. On the other hand, inflation favors short-term consumption and borrowers and is a burden on currency holders and savers.

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